My article for The Telegraph:There is now little doubt that the second wave of the virus crested before the lockdown began on Thursday.
On Friday the Government announced that the number of new positive tests over the previous seven days was 156,742, or 2,006 fewer than in the previous seven days: the first time this autumn the weekly number had not gone up.The same day the Office for National Statistics published its estimate, based on sampling the population, that the number of cases per day was 45,700, slightly down on the previous week, saying “incidence appears to have stabilised at around 50,000 new infections per day”.A third source confirms the peak: the ZOE survey of King’s College London, using the Covid Symptom Study app, which
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