Sarah Knapton Britain France Germany Coronavirus Sarah Knapton Britain France Germany

Flawed modelling is condemning Britain to lockdown

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My article for The Telegraph:Britain leads the pack on vaccination, but lags far behind America, Germany and France on liberation.

A big reason is that our Government remains in thrall to a profession that has performed uniquely badly during the pandemic: modellers.

The Government’s reliance on Sage experts’ computer modelling to predict what would happen with or without various interventions has proved about as useful as the ancient Roman habit of consulting trained experts in “haruspicy” – interpreting the entrails of chickens.As Sarah Knapton has revealed in these pages, the brutal postponement of Freedom Day coincided with the release of a bunch of alarmist models predicting a huge new wave of deaths.

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