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A Coronavirus Baby Boom: Myth or Reality?

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As shelter-in-place orders have been in effect for several weeks, there has been considerable speculation that a “coronavirus baby boom” may emerge nine months later.1 A hypothetical “corona baby” cohort would grow up to be “quaran-teens” and have the unique collective experience of being conceived during an infamous pandemic.

The idea of couples resorting to sexual activity under circumstances that confine them to close quarters and impose limitations on other activities is an alluring one, but is this a realistic speculation?

Will we see a baby boom or a baby bust? Demographers have long been interested in the fertility consequences of natural catastrophes and economic downturns.2-6 According to their body of work, fertility tends to

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